Recession fears have cooled, but a labor market chart flagged by one bearish strategist might give bullish investors pause.

Recession talk is back, and the smartest response is to watch the data and quietly fortify your finances before headlines ...

Watch the yield curve, says Jeffrey Gundlach, chief executive and chief investment officer at DoubleLine. (FRED) "My fear," said Jeffrey Gundlach, chief executive and chief investment officer at ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

The disconnect between hard data (which capture measurable performance of the economy and are backward-looking) and soft data (which are typically based on sentiment and expectations and are often ...

As prices rise and financial uncertainty spreads, experts are picking up on more and more indicators that the economy is in a ...

AGNC Investment Corp. benefits from a steepening yield curve, falling repo costs, and agency MBS safety. Click for this ...

Treasury yield simulations project 3‑month bills at 1%–2% in 10 years; curves show widening risk premiums, inversion odds and ...

One recession predictor is flashing following Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's Wednesday press conference. The yield curve is close to its most negative levels of 2022 once more, a sign traders remain ...

ORLANDO, Fla., June 2 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen this week issued a 'mea culpa' on getting it wrong on inflation. If the economy tips into recession in the next year or two, the ...