Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

The yield curve is a graphical representation that plots the interest rates of bonds with equal credit quality but varying maturity dates. A normal yield curve slopes upward, indicating higher ...

The 10-year yield is often used as a stand-in for mortgage rates and also shows how investors feel about the economy’s future ...

Bull Steepening All yields fall, with short-term yields likely falling faster. Bond prices rise across the board. When the ...

North American yield curves are experiencing the steepest inversion of the last 3 decades, while European yield curves have flattened significantly in 2022. In the world of fixed income investing, ...

There are a lot of recession predictors people watch: Some track imports, some track wholesale prices, some even track light truck sales and Statue of Liberty visits. But one of the most watched ...

In my 50-plus years of running money, I’ve noticed that the biggest market moves come from factors that have gone unnoticed – and right now, there’s a doozy lurking under the table. Amid all the ...

No foolproof formula predicts the economy in general or recessions in particular, but one of the indicator does a better job than the others: the yield curve. If one plots a chart of interest rates ...

The UST yield curve has been inverted, but there is speculation about when it will “un”invert and move out of negative territory. Short-term and long-term rates do not always move in the same ...

The natural slope of the yield curve is positive, meaning short-term interest rates are lower than long-term interest rates. There are periods where the curve inverts and, most importantly, a ...

The “experts” talk about how the U.S. Treasury Curve is currently “inverted.” What does that mean, and should it matter to lenders? The fact is, the yield curve (a graphical representation of yields, ...