Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...

The Sleeping Beauty paradox is a thought experiment that challenges how probability should be understood when memory and ...

Sportsbooks will assign a cost to each side, also known as juice or vig. For example, a coin toss prop could have -105 juice ...

If last year economists struggled to make reliable forecasts, the situation does not appear better this year where there is ...

Landfill collapse kills 1 and leaves at least 27 missing, Philippine police say I don't care if the McRib is real pork rib.

The U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro is rippling through prediction markets, driving bets on regime change risks in Iran, Cuba, ...

Treasury yield simulations project 3‑month bills at 1%–2% in 10 years; curves show widening risk premiums, inversion odds and ...

Prediction markets are skeptical of early Trump tariff checks, with Kalshi odds showing under 15% chance of payouts arriving ...

Abstract: Coin flipping is a fundamental cryptographic primitive that enables two distrustful and far apart parties to create a uniformly random bit. Quantum information allows for protocols in the ...

Donald Trump recently participated in the Army–Navy football game coin toss, a tradition long followed by sitting U.S. presidents. He was handed a coin by the referee to toss it in the air and ...

The president had an unusual technique during the ceremonial pregame toss at the Dec. 13 game Bailey Richards is a writer-reporter at PEOPLE. She has been working at PEOPLE since 2023 and interned ...

President Donald Trump found a new way to get the internet to flip out on Saturday — by doing the ceremonial coin flip before the Army-Navy football game. But there was just one problem with it — the ...