A decrease in oil supply drives up oil prices, which can raise unemployment and inflation. To counter adverse effects on ...

Using data from the euro area SAFE, a novel survey of firms’ inflation expectations including a randomized controlled trial ...

The Center for Pacific Basin Studies (CPBS) organizes the Asia Economic Policy Conference (AEPC) series and the Pacific Basin Research Conference series in alternating years. The AEPC is the flagship ...

Since 1974, the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco has conducted an active Pacific Basin program to promote cooperation among central banks in the region and enhance public understanding of major ...

To better understand the potential impacts of AI on the economy, this analysis assesses workers likely to be exposed to AI on ...

The United States announced new, higher tariff rates this year. Tariffs can affect supply chains, investment, and firms’ input costs, resulting in supply-side effects such as higher inflation and ...

On the labor market, I don’t feel as confident we can get ahead of it. It’s vulnerable enough now that the risk is it’ll have a nonlinear change," she told ...

We show that the underlying source of inflation impacts financial market perceptions of the persistence of monetary policy tightening. Investors expect policy tightening to be more persistent ...

Central banks set policy to support the economy, provide liquidity, and promote financial stability. Modern central banking requires adaptation to current demands and a framework that fosters agility ...

Robert G. Valletta, associate director of research and senior vice president at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, shared views on the current economy and the outlook from the Economic ...

Economic conditions in the Twelfth District were mixed during the October to mid-November reporting period. Employment levels largely held steady as most employers hired primarily to replace voluntary ...

Understanding employment patterns among different segments of the nation’s workforce contributes to a deeper understanding of the economy, in support of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy goals.